Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001032 0.001175 0.001318 0.001473 0.001633 0.001795 0.001970
2025-12-14 0.000782 0.000985 0.001196 0.001430 0.001678 0.001934 0.002215
2025-12-21 0.000632 0.000882 0.001150 0.001453 0.001783 0.002126 0.002509
2025-12-28 0.000472 0.000750 0.001060 0.001420 0.001818 0.002239 0.002713
2026-01-04 0.000362 0.000662 0.001009 0.001421 0.001885 0.002382 0.002946
2026-01-11 0.000262 0.000572 0.000948 0.001406 0.001929 0.002495 0.003142
2026-01-18 0.000183 0.000496 0.000896 0.001395 0.001973 0.002604 0.003332
2026-01-25 0.000098 0.000395 0.000804 0.001331 0.001953 0.002639 0.003436
2026-02-01 0.000048 0.000329 0.000749 0.001306 0.001973 0.002716 0.003584
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000285 0.000719 0.001309 0.002023 0.002824 0.003764
2026-02-15 0.000004 0.000251 0.000700 0.001322 0.002084 0.002943 0.003954
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000226 0.000690 0.001346 0.002156 0.003072 0.004155
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000173 0.000643 0.001336 0.002205 0.003197 0.004376
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000115 0.000579 0.001301 0.002225 0.003290 0.004562
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000088 0.000563 0.001329 0.002319 0.003469 0.004846
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000048 0.000507 0.001299 0.002342 0.003564 0.005035
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000025 0.000478 0.001303 0.002405 0.003704 0.005275
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000007 0.000438 0.001289 0.002445 0.003816 0.005480
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000404 0.001279 0.002487 0.003929 0.005686
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000339 0.001218 0.002461 0.003960 0.005796
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000301 0.001194 0.002481 0.004043 0.005965
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000281 0.001196 0.002534 0.004166 0.006177
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001210 0.002600 0.004303 0.006407